Posted on 04/26/2020 5:28:50 AM PDT by Hojczyk
Researchers at the University of Miami said this week that preliminary tests indicate as many as 221,000 residents of Miami-Dade County may have already been infected by the coronavirus, a rate 20 times greater than the current official tally of infections.
Scientists from the Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center at the university's Miller School of Medicine revealed in a virtual meeting on Friday that a county-wide COVID-19 survey, which followed 1,400 participants over a two-week period, indicated that at least 4.4 percent, and as much as 7.9 percent of the county, could have already contracted the coronavirus.
That is a substantially larger number than the official data set logged by the state of Florida, which on Saturday afternoon had recorded just over 11,000 infections in Miami-Dade County, far and away the most out of any county in the state. Miami-Dade is the most populous county in Florida, with over 2.6 million residents.
The new numbers would also significantly drive down the county's COVID-19 fatality rate, which with 295 deaths officially stands at around two percent. At the upper bound of the researchers' new estimates, the death rate would fall to around 0.1 percent, roughly in line with that of the seasonal flu.
The states that are opening are largely rural states that don’t have a lot of the virus now. It isn’t the same as NYC with people crowded on subways. It’s at least 90% media/govt hype in most of the country, with 25% of the deaths in one city.
How many lives will this save? https://www.kimt.com/content/news/30000-Mayo-Clinic-employees-facing-furloughs-or-reduced-hours-569876701.html
It’s in a state with 274 deaths
Mayo Clinic losing 3B dollars and laying off or cutting hours to a tiny amount, 30,000 employees. All hospitals are ghost towns, losing money hand over fist, this will be fantastic for the health of the country! Let’s close it another couple of months.
If they get it, and get antibodies from it, it does count as getting it, even if they don’t develop any negative or very mild symptoms - that shows you the actual rate of risk. Only counting cases that are bad massively screws up the denominator. Same thing with H1N1 - they originally thought it was a 1% death rate or higher and ultimately was lower than 0.1% after serious antibody studies on the back end.
If you want to compare to historical pandemics how do you propose we derive the antibody test and PCR test results for people in those times and places?
Do you suppose we should use the entire world's populations as the denominator for each illness? After all, in a pandemic, pretty much everyone is eventually exposed...
The University Of Miami a great source if indoctrination spews more crap.
They did exactly what I’m talking about for H1N1 - they always do antibody studies now as it tells you how deadly a virus is. That technology wasn’t available with the Spanish flu. The goal is to calculate the likelihood of one dying. People are scared to death and staying at home because they think if exposed they have a greater than 1% chance of it being bad. The silent attack rate for most of the other bugs wasn’t nearly as a high as a % as it is for COVID19. Or in absolute #s - The Spanish flu killed about 0.6% of the total population in the US. This will kill about 0.03-0.04% of the US population even with ridiculously generous counting of deaths.
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