[Travis McGee]

Hong Kong Flu in 1968 killed 100,000 Americans in an entire year.

Covid-19 has killed 50,000 in a month and a half. Do the math.

Note 1: These graphs are not models, projections, forecasts or theories. These are log graphs of data. This has already happened.

Note 2: Nobody, including the graphologist, believes Chinese or Iranian numbers. His job is to plot the official reported numbers, not to inject his own slant. On his Twitter feed, he explains all this in great detail. John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch

Note 3: You can dispute the numbers of "real" covid cases etc, but it's still useful to observe trends based on consistent methodology.

Cumulative deaths.

Daily deaths, 7 day rolling average.

[TalBlack]

One: No one was padding the HK flu numbers for political reasons.

Two: The deaths aren’t going to continue at the late pace, unless, you know, they figure our ways to pad them even better.