The USA reached a milestone yesterday with 50,000 deaths from Corona virus.
On April 18 a friend and I were analyzing the data and we both came to the conclusion that 75,000 deaths by June 1st seems to be the fate of the USA.
We also made estimates of the demographics of the 75,000 who have or might yet succumb to the virus.
1. Long term care facility patients w/ major comorbidity 40%
2. Those people over 65 with comorbidities 30%
3. Those people under 65 with comorbidities 20%
4. Healthy people at all ages 10%
Much of the above demographic data is not available now, but as the states get better in their reporting, the numbers should be forthcoming.
I believe when the dust settles, obesity, diabetes, heart issues, cancer, and other underlying health issues will be the major contributing factors as to why people at any age died after being infected with corona virus.
Thus, it seems those folks with those health issues need to keep hunkering in place while healthy people go back to work.
The reality is that many working age people with significant health issues are working anyway nor are most of the post age 65 working.
correction-—
The reality is that many working age people with significant health issues are NOT working anyway nor are most of the post age 65 working.