For Italy and New York, the barn door was shut long after the horses ran away..... Both areas were probably completely infected, and death tolls are similar....for Cuomo to say that steep drop in hospitalizations is absolutely due to quarantine is self serving BS.... At this point it’s a question of whether other parts of the country can avoid the same kind of per capita deaths that New York and Italy suffered...but the coronapocalypse doesn’t seem to be materializing anywhere
De Blasio was late in responding, and then you have New York City itself. Social distancing on the New York subway - fuggedaboudit. USA Today, March 25 - “The coronavirus can exist on stainless steel objects for two to three days.” The subway consists of stainless steel objects. No other US city is that congested. L.A., for instance, is very spread out.
Italy is another story. Northern Italy has a lot of commercial ties to China, lots of traffic to and from China. They’ve sold industries to China and have lots of Chinese workers. They also have an aging population and a bad health care system. I read that their hospital system was overwhelmed in 2017 because of the flu.
So yea, those two areas were set up for corona disaster.