Wu Flu models have proven to be even less accurate than climate change models.
(Didn’t know that was possible.)
There is still time for the hymalayas to melt this year, as predicted.. don’t give up. ( actually they revised that just like the wuflu).
Any data model, for any purpose, has to be based on accurate data. In this case, there wasn’t much, although the data from South Korea was probably as close as one could/can get to definitive stats because of mandatory testing of people in infected areas, not just those who were suspected of infection due to related symptoms. As of today:
Total tested: 494,711
Negative: 468,779 (95%)
Positive: 10,423 (2%)
In-progress: 15,509 (3%)
Active: 3,246 (31%)
Recovered: 6973 (67%)
Deaths: 204 (1.95% of positive, .04% of those tested - an approximation of infection rate by percentage; feel free to compare it to the infection rate of the six influenza viruses currently tracked by CDC)