And where are you getting the 2% mortality rate from anyway? Consider this: California has twice the population of New York, yet only has 10.6% as many cases (13K v 122K,) and 7.7% as many fatalities (319 v. 4159.) yet we have dense population centers and vast numbers of homeless. Combined with cold and wet weather in recent weeks, people should be dropping like flies out here and they’re not. Why? Because, as has been theorized, we had an undetected first wave come through in the first quarter that people chalked up to a very bad case of the flu. Plus the vast majority of people who contract it stay asymptomatic. That population won’t be known until antibody testing becomes widespread. The unreported cases are vastly higher, and the mortality is going to come in well under 1%
Completely agree!
I bristle at “case” number graphs. If you test the population to see how many people have teeth, every day the number of people confirmed to have teeth goes up. It doesn’t mean more people have teeth. It means more people have been tested and confirmed to have teeth.
What would be at least a little more reasonable with the case numbers is what percentage of the people tested every day tested positive. And were they already symptomatic. Frankly, only a “random test” giving percentages would be of much use.
What really matters is the death count. That measures the frequency of an actual event.