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China lockdown may have blocked 700,000 virus cases: researchers
France24 ^ | March 31, 2020

Posted on 03/31/2020 9:22:45 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer

Washington (AFP) - China's decision to lock down the city of Wuhan, ground zero for the global COVID-19 pandemic, may have prevented more than 700,000 new cases by delaying the spread of the virus, researchers said Tuesday.

Drastic Chinese control measures in the first 50 days of the epidemic bought other cities across the country valuable time to prepare and install their own restrictions, according to the paper by researchers in China, the United States and the UK, published in the journal Science.

By day 50 of the epidemic -- February 19 -- there were 30,000 confirmed cases in China, said Oxford fellow Christopher Dye, one of the paper's authors.

"Our analysis suggests that without the Wuhan travel ban and the national emergency response there would have been more than 700,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases outside of Wuhan by that date," he was quoted as saying in a press release.

"China's control measures appear to have worked by successfully breaking the chain of transmission -- preventing contact between infectious and susceptible people."

The researchers used a combination of case reports, public health information and mobile phone location tracking to investigate the spread of the virus.

The researchers "were able to compare patterns of travel into and out of Wuhan during the outbreak with cell phone data from two previous spring festivals," Bjornstad said.

"The analysis revealed an extraordinary reduction in movement following the travel ban of January 23, 2020. Based on this data, we could also calculate the likely reduction in Wuhan-associated cases in other cities across China."

(Excerpt) Read more at france24.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: chicoms; china; coronavirus; covid19; propaganda; virus
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1 posted on 03/31/2020 9:22:45 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

My model shows it much lower than that


2 posted on 03/31/2020 9:24:23 AM PDT by al baby (Hi Mom Hi Dad)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

I find it more likely that the CCP is lying.


3 posted on 03/31/2020 9:24:42 AM PDT by Ingtar (Biden needs 45.91%, Sanders 63.39% remain delegates. 20 from past primaries not allocated.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Yay, China saved the world!


4 posted on 03/31/2020 9:24:54 AM PDT by proust (Justice delayed is injustice.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

So the message is that authoritarian communism is great?


5 posted on 03/31/2020 9:25:03 AM PDT by Ouchthatonehurt
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

This is a lie.

The lockdown should have happened far earlier, but they lied about it and suppressed the doctors who raised the warnings.

Propaganda.

The new narrative is going to be that China was heroic in their response, but the truth is already known.


6 posted on 03/31/2020 9:25:12 AM PDT by volunbeer (Find the truth and accept it - anything else is delusional)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

I’d really like to see the share of Chinese ownership of the world’s press organizations.


7 posted on 03/31/2020 9:26:28 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: dfwgator

You’re not kidding.


8 posted on 03/31/2020 9:28:09 AM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: Ouchthatonehurt
So the message is that authoritarian communism is great?

Correct! You win some borscht!

9 posted on 03/31/2020 9:28:25 AM PDT by Fury
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To: al baby

https://www.takimag.com/article/speak-the-truth-shame-the-chinese/

There are times to avoid pointing fingers,
and there are times to point them so vigorously that you put someone’s eye out.
So let’s do some pointin’.


10 posted on 03/31/2020 9:28:49 AM PDT by HangnJudge (Kipling was right about humanity)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

What heroes.


11 posted on 03/31/2020 9:30:40 AM PDT by deadrock (Speak in haste, repent at leisure.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

If PDJT had acted back in 2018 on this there wouldn’t be any.


12 posted on 03/31/2020 9:31:00 AM PDT by rktman ( #My2ndAmend! ----- Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?)
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To: deadrock

One thing you’ll never see on HBO is a series like “Chernobyl” which implicates the ChiComs.


13 posted on 03/31/2020 9:31:27 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

CCP Planted story


14 posted on 03/31/2020 9:33:37 AM PDT by headstamp 2 (There's a stairway to heaven, but there's also a highway to hell.)
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To: proust

China cheerleading. Socialists everywhere are SO envious of the power the CCP has.


15 posted on 03/31/2020 9:38:05 AM PDT by PGR88
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To: dfwgator

South Park will have a crack at them, I’m sure.


16 posted on 03/31/2020 9:39:07 AM PDT by deadrock (Speak in haste, repent at leisure.)
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To: headstamp 2

“And we got newspaper people on the payroll, don’t we, Tom?”


17 posted on 03/31/2020 9:40:15 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Devil Worshipin, Satanic Inspired, Kommies...

Liars


18 posted on 03/31/2020 9:46:42 AM PDT by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BB0ndRzaz2o)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

More Chi-Com lies.


19 posted on 03/31/2020 10:02:36 AM PDT by E Pluribus Bellum
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
China's decision to lock down the city of Wuhan, ground zero for the global COVID-19 pandemic, may have prevented more than 700,000 new cases by delaying the spread of the virus

Ah yes, "may", "could", "if", "possibly"...

And everyone turning around in a circle three times saying "COVID-19, go away! Don't come back any other day!" MAY eradicate the virus completely.

See how easy it is?

20 posted on 03/31/2020 10:08:33 AM PDT by Sicon
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