That editorial was published Feb 28. I do not believe this is his current position, and if it is, he is talking some awfully high numbers of case fatalities.
The editorial date must be an error as many of the references in the article are dated in March 2020.
“That editorial was published Feb 28. I do not believe this is his current position, and if it is, he is talking some awfully high numbers of case fatalities.”
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He is a data guy who is facing a situation that has been, up to now, severely deficient in HARD DATA. As a result of that DATA DEFICIT, he has been all over the board with his PROJECTIONS. He has has projections of deaths that are very low based upon optimistic ASSUMPTIONS & ESTIMATES. And he has some very depressing PROJECTIONS based upon the most PESSIMISTIC (and UNREALISTIC) ASSUMPTIONS & ESTIMATES.
As more data accumulates, the projections will be more accurate. And with the waves of new and FASTER testing capabilities coming online in vastly greater volumes, HARD DATA WILL RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE. And, in my opinion, the projections will grow both more accurate and LOWER.
From where do you get a publish date of 2/28?
The article is dated 3/26.