“Some early clues may be found in the tiny country of Iceland. So far, the country has tested 11,727 people—about 3.2% of its population of 364,000....As of Thursday, 737 have tested positive, or roughly 6.3% of all people tested in the country. Of those, 15 are in hospitals, two of them in intensive care. The rest—many of whom are asymptomatic—have been ordered to self-quarantine.”
https://fortune.com/2020/03/27/coronavirus-testing-us-iceland-cdc-trump-decode-covid-19-tests/
11,727 tested. 737 positive. 17 needing hospitalization.
If 17 hospitalizations for every 737 who actually have it holds, this thing is pretty beatable.
23/1,000 is comparable with flu, but it adss to the health care system load.
Sick 45,000,000 (39,000,000 - 58,000,000)
Doctor 21,000,000 (18,000,000 - 27,000,000)
Hospital 810,000 (620,000 - 1,400,000) = 18/1,000 sick enough to doctor
Dead 61,000 (46,000 - 95,000)