[freeandfreezing]

We have had a minimum of 400,000 hospitalizations for influenza in the last 5.5 months.

And presumably you have some data establishing the percentage of influenza patients who need ventilators, and how long they are on the ventilator before case resolution. Would you be so kind as to share a link with us?

[zeestephen]

Re: “And presumably you have some data establishing the percentage of influenza patients who need ventilators, and how long they are on the ventilator before case resolution. Would you be so kind as to share a link with us?”

I can quote from memory - if you must have a CDC link, I’ll dig one out.

About 10% of hospital influenza admissions end up in the ICU.

I have no idea how many ICU influenza patients end up on a respirator.

The average hospital stay for an influenza patient who ends up in the ICU is eleven days - I have no idea how many of those days are on a respirator.

What I do know...

20,000 COVID-19 hospitalizations is 20X times smaller than 400,000 influenza hospitalizations.

[zeestephen]

Here is a CDC link to a relevant paper from the journal “Emerging Infectious Diseases.”

Proportion of ICU Patients Requiring Ventilation

“FluSurge 2.0 assumes 50% of patients with seasonal influenza admitted to the ICU require ventilation (22). HSC assumes 50% throughout a pandemic (21), and HHS uses 50.4% for a moderate scenario and 50% for a severe scenario”

Proportion of Ventilated Patients Requiring 2 Weeks of Ventilation

“FluSurge 2.0 (22) assumes that ventilatory support of Influenza Like Illness patients lasts 10 days.

https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/23/6/16-1417_article