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To: stockpirate; AAABEST
Actually the death rate is 1.39%.....not 14x....it’s lower then the flu....

I am pretty sure I have read, multiple times, that the death rate for the common flu hovers around 0.1%.
124 posted on 03/25/2020 7:50:51 PM PDT by SoConPubbie (Mitt and Obama: They're the same poison, just a different potency)
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To: SoConPubbie; stockpirate; AAABEST

“I am pretty sure I have read, multiple times, that the death rate for the common flu hovers around 0.1%.”

Correct. On average.

And the death rate for this on the Diamond Princess is 1.7% with a number of cases (113 out of 712) still unresolved. This thing doesn’t like to let go.

That’s the deaths-to-cases ratio, not the CFR.

People seem to often (willfully) conflate hospitalizations with case count for the flu. Then they pretend that is the total number of flu cases to prop up their narrative and dupe others into thinking CCP-19 is less dangerous than the flu, often misrepresenting the flu as having a mortality rate of something like 10%. (Really? How many people that they know that had the flu died from it? 1 in 10? Glad I DON’T know them.)

Additionally, they only count symptomatic cases of the flu - how, without vast testing which they clearly do not do, can you count cases of the flu that were asymptomatic? So by FluBro logic, there must be another 80% of cases of FLU out there that we don’t even see in the stats, right. I guess that makes the average CFR of the FLU more like 0.02% and since we DO know the distribution of CCP-19 cases, including the ones we wouldn’t even count for the flu, CCP-19 is 85 (1.7/.02) times as lethal as the flu.

Anybody can abuse statistics and present BS if they care to.

So, apples to apples, if you compare the flu to CCP-19, CCP-19 is at least 17 times as deadly. If you base your calculations on the South Korea numbers, remember that 60% or so of their cases are unresolved and their fatalities are increasing faster rate than they find new cases, so their current 1.37% will only go up.


262 posted on 03/25/2020 9:18:48 PM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
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