a few snippets from Stanford epidemiology professor John Ioannidis PDF at link I posted (he should be head of President Trump’s covid team):
Early estimates of case fatality rate may be markedly exaggerated.
Part of the growth of documented cases could reflect rapid increases in numbers of coronavirus tests performed...Even if bottlenecks in test availability are eventually removed, the epidemic curve may still reflect primarily population sesitization and willingness for testing rather than true epidemic growth.
Policy-makers feel pressure from opponents who lambast inaction.
Maintaining lockdowns for many months may have even worse consequences than an epidemic wave that runs an acute course.
If COVID-19 is not as grave as it is depicted, high evidence standards are equally relevant. Exaggeration and over-reaction may seriously damage the reputation of science, public health, ***media, and policy makers. It may foster disbelief that will jeopardize the prospects of an appropriately strong response if and when a more major pandemic strikes in the future.