Promises, promises.
This death rate projection is from March 9, 13 days ago.
Chart courtesy Travis McGee
The point is not to experience the growth displayed in the chart.
Right now, the death rate is unreliable for a number of reasons:
1) it is too early in the transmission stage to have any idea of how many of those who are currently sick will eventually die;
2)there has been extreme limitation on the number of test kits available. Because of that we cannot accurately determine # of people of infected or the # of people who have died from covid without a diagnosis.
3) in many areas of the Country, control measures to mitigate the spread have already been put into place.