Posted on 03/20/2020 11:15:51 AM PDT by bitt
What the Next 18 Months Can Look Like, if Leaders Buy Us Time
Summary of the article: Strong coronavirus measures today should only last a few weeks, there shouldn’t be a big peak of infections afterwards, and it can all be done for a reasonable cost to society, saving millions of lives along the way. If we don’t take these measures, tens of millions will be infected, many will die, along with anybody else that requires intensive care, because the healthcare system will have collapsed.
Within a week, countries around the world have gone from: “This coronavirus thing is not a big deal” to declaring the state of emergency. Yet many countries are still not doing much. Why?
Every country is asking the same question: How should we respond? The answer is not obvious to them.
Some countries, like France, Spain or Philippines, have since ordered heavy lockdowns. Others, like the US, UK, Switzerland or Netherlands, have dragged their feet, hesitantly venturing into social distancing measures.
Here’s what we’re going to cover today, again with lots of charts, data and models with plenty of sources:
What’s the current situation? What options do we have? What’s the one thing that matters now: Time What does a good coronavirus strategy look like? How should we think about the economic and social impacts?
When you’re done reading the article, this is what you’ll take away:
(Excerpt) Read more at medium.com ...
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Ain’t you the one that believes in the “Looking Glass”
that allows Trump and Q to see the future?
One of the most important variables, if not the most important, is exactly what President Trump’s team is telling us to do.
The key is hygiene.
In my opinion, the virus took hold in China and Italy because of the vast cultural difference in hygiene.
As illustrated in this article:
“In San Francisco in the 1970s and 1980s, it was routine to see men from China spit in the streets, blow their noses in their fingers and then wipe their hands on anything nearby, and generally violate American hygienic norms. Outside the tourist zones, Chinatown’s restaurants and grocery stores also suggested resistance to American hygiene.”
More on hygiene for you:
“the advances of the aforementioned Industrial Revolution and the discovery of the germ theory of disease brought about public health measures that, building upon the importance of good hygiene and sanitation, culminated in the rise of the scientific era of medicine”
https://haciendapublishing.com/medicalsentinel/medical-history-hygiene-and-sanitation
Thanks, don’t forget to wash your hands.
https://youtu.be/n4no04822NQ
That’s why - a rate of death that when compared with all other pandemics since 2000 (and rebased to the same starting point) - show COVID19 as the most virulent of them all.
I was in Shanghai this past summer for five weeks. You are absolutely right about the lack of bathroom hygiene. It was actually rare to find all these things in a public bathroom: a western toilet (vs. squat or even trench toilets...), toilet paper IN the stall, toilet paper by the sinks (to grab as you enter a stall), soap, warm water and paper towels or blow dryers. When there was construction on the highway “rest” stops, I saw only trench toilets and little else. Talk about losing one’s appetite.
I think the virus spread so quickly in and outside of Wuhan because of these ridiculously poor bathroom habits. In contrast, the Japanese even have “bidet” toilet combinations in the subways and public bathrooms. Amazingly clean society.
It’s a deal.
Further confirmation, thanks.
We should start seeing sufficiently warmer weather soon. That should kill most of the virus, just as it does the other coronaviruses.
Interesting article.
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