You don't have to predict ANYTHING when you're in a position to influence things. Sell first, then tell a bunch of business leaders it's "akin to the 1918 pandemic". Keep that up and it's a sure bet you've made the right move (and set yourself up to make a bundle when it's time to get back in).
https://www.newsobserver.com/news/coronavirus/article241330126.html
1 guy vs. the entire DNC?