Whoops - forgot to help you with your math.
You wrote: “You misstated the CFR. The number you gave is the Deaths-to-Cases Ratio which includes unresolved cases. The CFR is currently (150 dead)/(150 dead + 106 recovered) or 59% at this time.”
The Encyclopedia Britannica disagrees:
“Case fatality rate is calculated by dividing the number of deaths from a specified disease over a defined period of time by the number of individuals diagnosed with the disease during that time.”
https://www.britannica.com/science/case-fatality-rate
Hope this helps?
Case fatality rate is calculated by dividing the number of deaths from a specified disease over a defined period of time by the number of individuals diagnosed with the disease during that time.
For a historical data set. It is meaningless to include the unresolved cases. That’s why the Deaths-to-Cases Ratio exists.
From Wikipedia:
“A CFR can only be considered final when all the cases have been resolved (either died or recovered).”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Case_fatality_rate
Incidentally, the Wikipedia article actually lists the Britannica definition you provided among its citations. I’m sure if some epidemiologist looked at the Wikipedia article and saw a problem he’d submit a correction. Yet it remains the same since the last time we had this debate. Certainly it could be that the whole epidemiological world is wrong and you are right, but I doubt it.