[nwrep]

If the number of deaths is not increasing in two weeks we can call it and see what happens.

The number of daily US confirmed deaths are plotted in the graph in this webpage (scroll down): https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

The daily deaths are increasing:

March 14: 7

March 15: 11

March 16: 17

March 17: 15 (just so far today until noon Pacific Time)

Most people expect the number of dead to keep increasing and spiking without social distancing and containment. It will NOT taper off in 2 weeks. Possibly in 4-6 weeks we will see.

[wastoute]

At this rate we’ll have a real good idea of where we are in ten days.