To: Mariner
ONE person can light the fire. And it will grow at the same logarithmic rate as if it were 500.
The death rate (or morbidity rate or whatever it is called) is 1.87% at 9:32 PST tonight.
While what you are saying is true, you should expect this to keep dropping as it has for several days now.
As the floodgates on the testing are opened for the next several weeks, this number will drop to the floor and will remove one more talking point (a BIG one) from the enemy MSM press.
17 posted on
03/16/2020 9:55:17 PM PDT by
SoConPubbie
(Mitt and Obama: They're the same poison, just a different potency)
To: SoConPubbie
20 posted on
03/16/2020 10:01:58 PM PDT by
timestax
To: SoConPubbie
Deaths-to-Cases Ratio.
It will eventually converge with the Case Fatality Rate.
Once widespread testing is underway we’ll probably see a lot of newly discovered cases. As a result the DCR will drop dramatically and slowly creep back up as cases resolve, likely ending up just over 1%. This is what’s happening in SK right now. That’s the model we have to work with. Maybe we got out early enough to get it below 1% - hope so, anyway. All credit to President Trump for early action.
Now he needs to close the southern border to stop the third wave of infections from coming in.
27 posted on
03/17/2020 12:00:04 AM PDT by
calenel
(Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant.)
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