No it’s shows that we aren’t Italy. Their death was 2/3 higher then ours 2 weeks in.
I agree we are not Italy. Every country is different in terms of genetics, resources, speed of response, demographics, on and on.
One thing is for sure, comparing the published data about number of cases, incubation period, morbidity and mortality is very difficult. Nobody really knows for sure and predictions require a number of assumptions that may or may not hold up.
Hope for the best but prepare for the worst!