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To: TChad

Re: “Unfortunately, there was a big leap in daily new cases today.”

The big leap may be deceptive.

The CDC does not report new numbers between 4 PM on Friday until 12 Noon on Monday.

Many - perhaps all - of the new numbers come from state health departments.

It is not clear if any of the state health departments were reporting new deaths on Saturday and Sunday.

One slightly encouraging fact....

Even with the big leap in weekend deaths, the USA “Case Fatality Rate” (CFR) increased just slightly - from 1.7% to 1.8%.

Before today’s reversal, the CFR was declining or steady for the six previous days.


159 posted on 03/16/2020 9:43:57 PM PDT by zeestephen
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To: zeestephen

Thanks. I hope you are right.


160 posted on 03/17/2020 12:23:03 AM PDT by TChad (The MSM, having nuked its own credibility, is now bombing the rubble.)
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To: zeestephen

Bigger leap today than yesterday. Not good.


161 posted on 03/17/2020 11:24:34 PM PDT by TChad (The MSM, having nuked its own credibility, is now bombing the rubble.)
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