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To: Steve Schulin

Millions could be killed? Here? That’s ridiculous.

Most viruses are contagious primarily before symptoms, but I don’t know if Ebola is one of those or only after. Furthermore Ebola IS contagious for weeks after via contaminated surfaces so a dead person does not stop the danger.


105 posted on 03/14/2020 7:47:15 AM PDT by the OlLine Rebel (Common sense is an uncommon virtue./Federal-run medical care is as good as state-run DMVs)
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To: the OlLine Rebel
You say it's ridiculous to say that millions could be killed here. Have you done ANY calculations using ANY assumptions for the appropriate variables? Mike Adams has made a spreadsheet-based tool available that allows you to modify your assumptions and see how those changes affect the number of cases and deaths here. In an article announcing version 2 of the tool, he notes that "One piece of good news in this projection is that if you enter an R0 value of 2.4, and use a social distancing suppression value of 25%, there are only 1.1 million deaths in the USA by July 4th." I'm not so bothered that you don't agree with my claim that President Trump's travel restrictions have likely prevented millions of deaths here just looking ahead to May. After that first press conference, I was disappointed that the President didn't criticize our public health officials for the still stunningly poor testing. The Mike Adams quote above and this link to his spreadsheet-based model http://www.pandemic.news/PPM-Adams-Rev-2.zip is from a March 10 article at Infowars.
112 posted on 03/15/2020 9:44:42 AM PDT by Steve Schulin (Cheap electricity gives your average Joe a life better than kings used to enjoy)
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