[Buckeye McFrog]

46 KNOWN completed cases.

We have absolutely no idea how many people have been walking around with this and/or recovered from it as we’re testing virtually nobody.

If the death rate was really 82% the bodies would be stacked so deep in Italy you wouldn’t be able to get down the streets.

[null and void]

AH! You did the math! Good.

Now the rest of the story...

The initial data from China showed similar sky high numbers.

It then dropped to much more reasonable numbers. That pattern repeated at several locations. I don't know why that happens, but I do know THAT it happens. Perhaps it's the more vulnerable have a quick outcome? Or maybe it's a fluke due to a thin data set? 46 completed cases in a country of 350,000,000? That's really not a statistically meaningful sample.

World wide, the deaths/completed cases has been hovering around 6%. That's high, but it's not so high as to be a civilization killer.

We'll get through this.

[hinckley buzzard]

Yes. To be clear, for the overwhelming majority of people, the virus causes relatively mild symptoms— like the flu. No doubt many have had it, thought it was just a cold, paid it no mind, and got better. For the elderly and medically compromised, it is much more dangerous. That’s why the deaths in Washington were mostly nursing home residents.

It would be helpful to analyze the demographics of the bunch of deaths in Italy. Are they mostly old and sick? It could be moist are, just as most of the deaths here are.