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To: Mariner

The flu this year has infected millions and killed thousands but let’s all get panicky about COVID-19 that doesn’t appear to cause as high a mortality rate.


16 posted on 03/10/2020 1:06:19 PM PDT by antidemoncrat
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To: antidemoncrat

Let’s check those numbers then...
Approximately 100,000 cases worldwide with about 4000 dead. Lets crank up the numbers a bit while keeping the same ratio.
1,000,000 cases would yield 40,000 dead.
10,000,000 would yield 400,000 dead.
Sounds fairly serious to me...
100,000,000 infections would yield 4,000,000 dead, and that is less than 10 percent of the planet population in infected.
Multiply by 7 to get to ~10% and anticipated deaths rise to 28,000,000.
Nothing to worry about...
Granted the numbers are not exact but a difference of 1 or 2 million here or there won’t make that much difference.


28 posted on 03/10/2020 1:21:20 PM PDT by Bitman
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To: antidemoncrat

Let’s check those numbers then...
Approximately 100,000 cases worldwide with about 4000 dead. Lets crank up the numbers a bit while keeping the same ratio.
1,000,000 cases would yield 40,000 dead.
10,000,000 would yield 400,000 dead.
Sounds fairly serious to me...
100,000,000 infections would yield 4,000,000 dead, and that is less than 10 percent of the planet population in infected.
Multiply by 7 to get to ~10% and anticipated deaths rise to 28,000,000.
Nothing to worry about...
Granted the numbers are not exact but a difference of 1 or 2 million here or there won’t make that much difference.


29 posted on 03/10/2020 1:21:20 PM PDT by Bitman
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To: antidemoncrat

“The flu this year has infected millions and killed thousands but let’s all get panicky about COVID-19 that doesn’t appear to cause as high a mortality rate.”

CV in S. Korea, a first-world medical system, has only killed 0.7% of the known cases, but 95% are still unresolved. That’s 7 times as deadly as the typical flu *so far*, even if every other known case survives. S. Korea is doing best among the heaviest hit countries.

Italy - not nearly as successful. Another first-world HCS, by the way. 6% fatality rate among known cases with about 87% still unresolved. That’s at least 60 times as deadly as the flu.

It’s NOT the flu.

Wonder what the mortality rate would be if CV were endemic, like the flu, and everybody was exposed to it multiple times over the course of a year. We’ve only got 3 months of data for this, from when it was in just one city most people had never heard of, until now, when it is a global pandemic.


42 posted on 03/10/2020 2:34:28 PM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant.)
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