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To: Junior_G; neverdem; ProtectOurFreedom; Mother Abigail; EBH; vetvetdoug; Smokin' Joe; Global2010; ...
I'd feel better if they had some sense of the death rate.

Right now about 7% of the people sick enough to be hospitalized die.

That's the bad news. There's lots of good news. A fraction never show symptoms, another fraction have very minor symptoms, probably the largest fraction needs a couple days of bed rest and fluids. Maybe only 15-20% need hospital care maybe half of those need ICU care, and over 90% of those survive. Most of those who don't are elderly and/or have underlying medical conditions.

The original death rate (based on understated ChiCom numbers) was around 50%, when the disease spread to areas where the air was cleaner, and the number of heavy smokers lower, the disease rate plummeted.

Hang in there Junior, you and your kids can get through this! Still, stock up. Supply chains will be disrupted and we're in for a rough time. And for goodness sakes, your neighbors don't need to know you have enough food to feed a horde!

Or they will be the horde!

Bring Out Your Dead

Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.

The purpose of the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list (formerly the “Ebola” ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.

So far the false positive rate is 100%.

At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the “Bring Out Your Dead” threads will miss the beginning entirely.

*sigh* Such is life, and death...

If a quarantine saves just one child's life, it's worth it.

13 posted on 02/29/2020 4:52:49 AM PST by null and void (By the pricking of my lungs, Something wicked this way comes ...)
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To: null and void
null and void :". . Supply chains will be disrupted and we're in for a rough time.
And for goodness sakes, your neighbors don't need to know you have enough food to feed a horde!
Or they will be the horde!"

It couldn't be better stated ! maintain OPSEC (security)
Use logic , rather than emotion in keeping supplies.
'Eat what you store, ..and store what you eat' - no drastic changes
And have a supply variety of home medications to combat sneezing, coughing, digestion problems, extra toilet paper, and a ready reserve of prescriptive medications.

15 posted on 02/29/2020 5:02:04 AM PST by Tilted Irish Kilt
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To: null and void
A fraction never show symptoms, another fraction have very minor symptoms, probably the largest fraction needs a couple days of bed rest and fluids. Maybe only 15-20% need hospital care maybe half of those need ICU care, and over 90% of those survive.

Let's hope that holds true for the third and time...

26 posted on 02/29/2020 9:59:35 AM PST by GOPJ ( http://www.tinyurl.com/cvirusmap https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/usmap.htm)
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