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To: DouglasKC

“This virus kills between 2 to 3 percent of those who get it. The flu kills less than 1%.”

This virus kills between 2 to 3 percent of those who get it in China. I suspect it may be lower in first world countries. Not enough data yet.


54 posted on 02/29/2020 6:45:15 AM PST by Captain Compassion (I'm just sayin')
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To: Captain Compassion

“This virus kills between 2 to 3 percent of those who get it in China. I suspect it may be lower in first world countries. Not enough data yet.”

When you exclude Hubei Province (Wuhan) the global CFR is around 1.8%. That’s official deaths divided by (official deaths + official recoveries).

Watch S. Korea. First World medicine, widespread testing. 16 deaths, 27 recovered, 3150 known cases. CFR of 16/(16+27)*100%=37%. That looks pretty bad, BUT it is still early. Many of the 3103 unresolved cases will recover and that 37% will drop to some much lower number. In the US we just had our first official death. There are 7 recovered. That’s a 12.5% CFR. Same caveats as for S. Korea, with the exception that we are just starting our widespread testing so our actual case count is unknown.


66 posted on 02/29/2020 11:20:51 AM PST by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant.)
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