With a mortality rate of 2.1%, one would expect no deaths in 16 cases about 71% of the time, so if you believe the published mortality rates, this is plausible.
China has an older population, and most men are smokers, so the fatality rate among men over 60 in China may be quite high.
Yes. Good succinct analysis.
This outbreak is quite serious and needs good oversight and containment.
But it’s not the apocalyptic crisis so many people seem to think it is.