I remember clear as day when everybody said Obunghole would be massacred by whomever it was he ran against
That “anybody” does not include John McCain, a guy who actually wanted to lose and did everything he could to lose. Tump is a different creature altogether.
That “anybody” does not include John McCain, a guy who actually wanted to lose and did everything he could to lose. Tump is a different creature altogether.
Obama never had to run against an incumbent. An incumbent running for re-election in a half decent economy is unstoppable.
In 1980, Reagan asked the voters a simple question: Are you better off now than you were four years ago?
Every re-election since, the challenger asks that same question, and unless the answer is a resounding No!, the incumbent wins easily.
In 2020, the answer is clearly Yes.
Pollsters got 2016 wrong because there was not an incumbent President running for re-election. They wont get 2020 wrong. Around September, pollsters will give up any wishful thinking or agenda driven analysis and begin predicting a Trump win.
They already know hell win and they will go on the record saying so to preserve their credibility as political analysts.