I think Biden will get it. Iowa and New Hampshire won’t be as important in this Primary.
I’m more worried about Bloomberg. Not so much about winning anything but using his money for house and senate seats.
Every nominee of either party in the modern era finished either first or second in New Hampshire.
There is a _reason_ for this.
New Hampshire is the retail primary, where each candidate has to go out and pitch to small groups of the public. New Hampshire voters discuss the candidates a lot with each other (behind closed doors) and evaluate their strengths and weaknesses far away from the mass media and the campaign spin doctors.
When you come in fourth or fifth in New Hampshire it means you are a terrible candidate—and this was determined by people who know you well.
Voters in other states pay attention.