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Sanders eked out the lowest winning Democrat primary vote share in New Hampshire in 68 years
The Week ^ | Feb 12, 2020

Posted on 02/12/2020 1:44:20 AM PST by 11th_VA

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Note: NH population has grown ~ 4% since 2008; they would need to surpass 300K+ votes to match 2008 levels as a percentage rate ... just sayin ...
1 posted on 02/12/2020 1:44:20 AM PST by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA
"If I had to sum up the night (and the Democratic race to date)," FiveThirtyEight's Dan Hopkins wrote Tuesday night, "I'd say this: 'All Your Candidates Belong to Factions.'"
2 posted on 02/12/2020 1:52:06 AM PST by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA
The relatively low turnout for Iowa's Democratic caucuses ... above the 253,062 turnout level in 2016 ... close to the record turnout of 287,527 in 2008 ...

So, was there low turnout or a near record? Sheesh.

3 posted on 02/12/2020 2:03:53 AM PST by CatOwner
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To: 11th_VA

And it only took half a dozen other candidates to siphon off his votes!


4 posted on 02/12/2020 2:30:32 AM PST by mewzilla (Break out the mustard seeds.)
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To: 11th_VA

Did all 274k dems vote dem? 25% of Trump rally attendees were dems. Maybe they voted trump in the primary


5 posted on 02/12/2020 2:50:34 AM PST by spacejunkie2001
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To: spacejunkie2001

They can only vote for Dems in the primary... so they voted for Bernie and went to the trump rally


6 posted on 02/12/2020 3:03:38 AM PST by teeman8r (Armageddon won't be pretty, but it's not like it's the end of the world)
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To: CatOwner

Iowa was low turnout NH was not.


7 posted on 02/12/2020 3:21:58 AM PST by pas
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To: pas

CNN exit polls showed that a vast majority of NH primary voters describe themselves as “moderate.” That doesn’t bode well for Sanders or Warrn, and it explains why Amy is surging.

It’ll be interesting to see what happens going forward. Events are difficult to predict and have a huge influence on voter choice.


8 posted on 02/12/2020 3:33:46 AM PST by LittleSpotBlog
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To: LittleSpotBlog

Hillary was the moderate candidate in 2016 and Bernie trounced her 70-30 in New Hampshire.


9 posted on 02/12/2020 3:59:45 AM PST by hardspunned
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To: hardspunned

I think what is insightful is that the commie from the adjacent state barely beat out buttplug. That to me says a lot about his underlying strength (buttplug). Sanders and warren together did not get 40%. Buttplug and the drunk beat them out.


10 posted on 02/12/2020 4:14:45 AM PST by Mouton (The media is the enemy of the people.)
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To: Mouton

Sanders is the one with real support,maybe Warren. The others are completed manufactured. As a result there support is shallow. Enthusiasm is virtually none for them. This all about not having Bernie and to me that is not a way to win the Presidency.


11 posted on 02/12/2020 4:24:35 AM PST by wiseprince
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To: 11th_VA

Here’s hoping a lot of those votes were Republican cross-overs.


12 posted on 02/12/2020 4:26:49 AM PST by samtheman (Trump TV Ad: Virginia takes guns. NY legalizes crime. Iowa steals votes. What Democrats do.)
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To: 11th_VA

I will say again, as I did over and over during the Romney disaster in 2012, that “winning” with 28% or 30% of the vote makes no sense at all if 72% of the voters really, really don’t want you.

It’s one thing in a final election to choose someone for a job, if there are multiple candidates (although runoffs are much better).

But in a preference poll? To choose a candidate who can win a two-man election?

It can only work in the presence of party loyalty so strong that all, or most, of the 70% who voted AGAINST candidate X are certain to vote for him in November.

Such party loyalty no longer exists in the US, and hasn’t for years.


13 posted on 02/12/2020 4:32:30 AM PST by Jim Noble (There is nothing racist in stating plainly what most people already know)
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To: Jim Noble

They say that 10% of the Bernie Bros voted for Trump because they were so disgusted LAST time. I can imagine that will be a LOT higher this time. I do believe right now Bernie HAS his support. The 70% that don’t support him aren’t going to. Intelligent people will recognize the Rats can’t win without Wall Street cash and Bernie will get none.


14 posted on 02/12/2020 4:38:11 AM PST by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: 11th_VA

Sanders did not win.

He merely tied with the queer.

They both won 9 delegates


15 posted on 02/12/2020 4:40:01 AM PST by bert ( (KE. NP. N.C. +12) Progressives are existential American enemies)
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To: 11th_VA

16 posted on 02/12/2020 4:57:07 AM PST by Travis McGee (EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: pas

Ah, I didn’t catch that. That’s what happens when you wake up at 4am and can’t go back to sleep, finding yourself on FR.


17 posted on 02/12/2020 5:17:02 AM PST by CatOwner
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To: 11th_VA

Still, not bad for a commie. he should get more then 50 votes in a otherwise sane world.


18 posted on 02/12/2020 5:18:55 AM PST by Leep (Everyday is Trump Day!)
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To: 11th_VA

Still, not bad for a commie. he should NOT get more then 50 votes in a otherwise sane world.


19 posted on 02/12/2020 5:19:17 AM PST by Leep (Everyday is Trump Day!)
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To: spacejunkie2001

Did all 274k dems vote dem? 25% of Trump rally attendees were dems. Maybe they voted trump in the primary

Yes, NH has a closed primary system. The 274k is the vote totals of the Dem side.


20 posted on 02/12/2020 5:43:18 AM PST by Steven Scharf
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