Given that he stabbed his boss in the back, I doubt there is a senior commander in the Army who would have him on his staff, though. Good luck finding a job, pal.
That’s essentially my read of the situation: follow the normal pattern for officers coming off of NSC White House duty.
There is a bump in the road to AWC that LTC Vindman has to get over. AWC is ten months long. There is a minimum service obligation of two years that comes with attending AWC and, if he is promoted, there’s another 3 years time-in-grade requirement if he wants to retire as a COL. The service requirements are concurrent. So, with some overlap, he’d probably be tied up until sometime in late 2023/early 2024 if he chooses to go to AWC.
If he wants to keep his retirement options open (i.e., retire sooner), he might need to decline attending AWC. Ditto for promotion to COL. Retiring as a LTC and immediately joining some think tank as a high dollar senior analyst could possibly offset the net difference in retirement pay.
A lot depends on what he thinks his future prospects on active duty are. And that depends on the inside-the-Pentagon perception of LTC Vindman’s actions. That’s Deep State territory, so what he is hearing there might be a lot different from what the field Army might be thinking about his actions.
This might be especially true of the Generals and SES civilians who actually have control over his future. Keep in mind that former SecDef Mattis resigned over a policy difference with President Trump and his resignation probably reflected the feelings of a lot of the civilian and military leadership in the Pentagon.
There are a lot of “mights” in the preceding paragraphs, so I am probably wrong.
Semper Fi.