That allows us to do a more ‘contextual’ comparison between this coronavirus and the common flu.
According to Wiki, Flu cases in the US fluctuate each year, And have ranged from 9 million to 45 million over the last 10 years. And the deaths ranged from 12,000 to 61,000.
So that’s about .13% deaths from the flu.
with the coronavirus, we have 31,800 pneumonia cases and 635 deaths to date - about 2% death rate.
IF There were actually twice as many coronavirus cases, and only half resulted in known pneumonia cases, the death rate would still be 1%, or almost 9x as deadly as the common flu.
Just an observation...
I still don’t believe they’d do what they’re doing for a 1% mortality rate. That’s a rounding error number for their population.
Coronavirus Impacting Missionary Service In Hong Kong 113 Missionaries will be transferring out of the China Hong Kong mission in the next few days.
Updated February 5, 2020
The Church issued the following updated statement regarding missionaries being transferred from Hong Kong and Macau:
The Church continues to monitor developments with the coronavirus. Overnight, we have learned that some of the missionaries leaving the China Hong Kong Mission will not undergo quarantine at a government facility as previously believed. Therefore, these 17 missionaries (who are citizens of the Philippines) will be isolated and separated from contact with other missionaries for 14 days at the missionary training center in Manila before departing for their new assignments or returning home.
The Church feels an important responsibility to do all we can to help these missionaries stay healthy and avoid even the remote possibility of spreading the virus. Staff at the missionary training center will work carefully to meet all the needs of these missionaries while they are there and to keep themselves and other missionaries safe by following proper health protocols.
As we have noted previously, for several days prior to leaving Hong Kong, all missionaries have rigorously followed preventative health practices to avoid illness including remaining in their apartments as much as possible, not engaging in teaching, wearing masks, and frequently washing their hands. Therefore, the likelihood of any of these missionaries having contracted the coronavirus is very low. Additionally, each missionary was required to show no symptoms before leaving Hong Kong.
The major difference between coronaviruses that cause a cold and those that cause a severe illness is that the former primarily infect the upper respiratory tract (the nose and throat), whereas the latter thrive in the lower respiratory tract (the lungs) and can lead to pneumonia.
You observation is skewered (not your fault) as we have seen videos coming out that say the doctors are being forced to list other reasons for deaths.
These messages are coming out in Mandarin which my wife speaks.