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To: Black Agnes; All

It is hard to believe, but the first “official” death of coronavirus was not even a month ago, on January 9. I know that these numbers are likely much lower than the actual numbers, but I’m using this for comparison.

So on Jan 9, there was “officially”:
1 death
7 critical
59 infected

https://thethaiger.com/hot-news/tourism/chinese-scientists-identify-the-wuhan-virus-screening-continues-on-thai-bound-flights

January 23rd was the first official death outside of Wuhan, in Hebei. There were around 100 cases noted in Hebei and another death a few days later.

https://fox8.com/2020/01/23/china-confirms-first-death-outside-epicenter-of-viral-outbreak/

So that was 2 weeks after the first death in Wuhan, and at that point there was the first case in the US.

Then the first death outside of China was on Feb 2, in the Philippines, and 3rd was in Hong Kong on the 4th.

Anyway, I know all these numbers could probably be multiplied by 10 or 100, but what I’m looking for is a timeline. For example, what average number of infected does a population have before you begin to see fatalities, or how long before you start seeing fatalities?

I’m really curious if anyone is working on this.


280 posted on 02/07/2020 11:39:43 AM PST by LilFarmer
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To: LilFarmer

“January 23rd was the first official death outside of Wuhan, in Hebei. There were around 100 cases noted in Hebei and another death a few days later.”

It was the videos of hospital lines and people dropping in the streets there, combined with reports about their crematoriums running 24/7, that triggered my ‘auto-prepping response’. I can only think that we didn’t want the Chinese to ‘lose face’ so took them at their word...and ignored those videos.


304 posted on 02/08/2020 4:03:48 AM PST by BobL (I eat at McDonald's and shop at Walmart - I just don't tell anyone.)
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