Clarification:
“Since only the numerator of the fatalities fraction FOR A PAST DAY can increase, the % of fatalities for confirmed cases FOR A PAST DAY can only increase.”
Saw this today, this guy is estimating CFR the same way I was trying to. He has an interesting chart, but I dont know how to post pics.
https://www.facebook.com/linton.j.norrish/posts/10220983446238797