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To: SkyDancer
"It doesn’t matter - it’s not a pandemic like the Spanish flue or SARS"

My point is, you should look at the data before commenting. It is growing much faster than SARS


15 posted on 01/30/2020 9:55:51 AM PST by proust (Justice delayed is injustice.)
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To: proust

My point is, you should look at the data before commenting. It is growing much faster than SARS.

...

That could be due to reporting anomalies.

SARS eventually leveled off and this will, too.


22 posted on 01/30/2020 10:03:27 AM PST by Moonman62 (Charity comes from wealth.)
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To: proust

Great graphic. What people are missing, and is illustrated perfectly by your point - is that you have to think of the potential of this, using the currently estimated death rate of 2%, the rate it appears to be spreading at, and the scariest point of all: the fact that it incubates for up to 2 weeks, with non symptomatic people potentially havint the ability to spread this during part of this phase.

That alone sets it way apart from even the flu - which only incubates for a couple of days, and I think I read you can only transmit for about a day of that (could be wrong on that).

2 weeks. Think about that.

Then run the numbers on how fast this could spread in the USA, if it really hit here for real. We could have millions of dead if the thing is not stopped, and that is not a hysterical assessment.

There is a reason why some Harvard guy called this ‘thermonuclear pandemic level bad’. It may peter out due to the extreme measures being taken to prevent it - but articles encouraging Americans not to worry about this are not very helpful - we should worry enough to prepare and keep an eye out because if this thing begins actually spreading, our cities will begin looking like the abandoned Chinese ones.


33 posted on 01/30/2020 10:16:18 AM PST by nerdgirl
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To: proust

Do you know of any charts like that tracking the recoveries? I’d like to get a better idea of how that number is changing over time.

I know I can see a spot-check on that GIS map, but it doesn’t really give me a feel for how it’s changing.


59 posted on 01/30/2020 11:25:46 AM PST by Ellendra (A single lie on our side does more damage than a thousand lies on their side.)
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