Ping, For your interest.
Yes, I commented on this on a couple of twitter threads.
Way too high, but the trend is in keeping with Harris X and Morning Consult, all showing Trump between 16% approval and 26% approval. I wouldn’t just “average these out.” I think the real approval is around 20%.
That doesn’t mean Trump will get 20% of the black vote. I think he will get half that 10%-11%, or 2-3 points higher than in 2016 . . . BUT there will be an additional 3-5% on top of that who will stay home, making his “effective” black vote 11.5-14%.