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To: bob_esb

Do you know if there can still be a no-deal Brexit this year?


5 posted on 11/01/2019 6:48:47 AM PDT by gr8eman (Stupid should hurt!)
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To: gr8eman

Won’t happen. No deal Brexit in January 2020 is still a possibility, as is a landslide Conservative victory in December 2019. Brexit, at 11-13%, may not win a single seat in the House of Commons, as that is first-past-the-gate, and Leavers are not concentrated. The SNP (Scottish National Party) may take all 59 seats in Scotland, as they are concentrated, even with fewer votes than the Brexit Party will receive.

If the Conservatives pick up another 23 votes (best guess), that maximizes no-deal Brexit happening. Fewer, and Tory remoaners can block any deal. More, and Johnson can push through a deal that is less favorable to the Kingdom.


7 posted on 11/01/2019 7:02:56 AM PDT by bIlluminati (Defund the Left. Shrink the U.S. Federal government to 1897 levels.)
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