I grew up in Suffolk County on Long Island and spent a lot of time in Manhattan when I was a kid. My father had a business a stone’s throw from Rockefeller Center....a photography business that developed large color photographs for the advertising agencies in the city.
There are still a lot of conservatives on Long Island. I have a lot of relatives there, in Nassau and Suffolk counties....and most....not all, but most....of them are Trump supporters.
I also lived in California during the 1970’s, 1980’s and the early 1990’s, mostly in Santa Barbara. The state used to be VERY conservative over all. The good old days.
I got disabused of all liberal notions as a direct result of living in Brooklyn and Far Rockaway in the ‘80s and ‘90s. The city is not monolithically liberal by a long-shot. There is the mythology that Republicans are all racists, there is the free stuff that the liberals dangle. But I think that’s all becoming obsolete. If you’re a black man who got out of prison and found work through First Step in an opportunity zone in Brooklyn, the case for Trump being a racist doesn’t get very far. And he’s a cultural icon for blacks as well as whites. Then the liberal whites who claim to speak for blacks begin to sound paternalistic and condescending, and they know it, so they get crazy and scare people, and nutso plans to get rid of private insurance, raise taxes on everybody and give more aid to Ghaza is just puke frosting on a sh!t cake, with impeachment as the dingleberry cherry on top.
Democrat formula for winning elections amounts to, get 90% of minorities and 40% of white vote, and you have a majority. It will not work in NYC in 2020. If just 25% of blacks go for Trump, it’s over. It never worked upstate. I think NY will do a Florida 2000, and liberal heads will explode.