Hard to say . Gabbard deferring to run throws an unexpected element on everything . It was assumed that she would drop out of the Prez run field and throw back in for CD-2. HRP is a joke . It used to be somewhat of a minor power but it has let everything slide. It might even be officially ignored by the RNC. Only a Trump visit would fire things up out here
When all is said and done, she will change parties.