Replies

To: Political Junkie Too

Here is a review of the Democrat and Independent favorable minus unfavorable for each major candidate (excludes "Don't know"). Score is "Very favorable" + "Somewhat favorable" - "Somewhat unfavorable" - Very unfavorable":

Additionally, I'm adding the belief that the candidate can beat President Trump ("Probably Beat" - "Probably Lose").

Candidate	Dem Fav	Ind Fav	Dem Beat Trump	Ind Beat Trump
Donald Trump	-75	-12
Elizabeth Warren	65	-6	50	-18
Bernie Sanders	54	-8	30	-16
Joe Biden	52	-10	48	-11
Kamala Harris	48	-20	19	-37
Pete Buttigieg	42	-9	6	-29
Beto O'Rourke	39	-22	-2	-39
Corey Booker	38	-14	-2	-37
Julian Castro	28	-14	-13	-39
Amy Klobuchar	23	-12	-11	-38
Andrew Yang	15	-5	-12	-34
Tulsi Gabbard	11	-10

Bottom Line

From this poll, Independents don't think that ANY Democrat candidate can beat President Trump.

Furthermore, Independents have an opposite view of the Democrat candidates from the Democrats themselves. This may change as the number of Independents who say "Don't Know" goes down.

-PJ

37 posted on 09/30/2019 2:30:30 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (The 1st Amendment gives the People the right to a free press, not CNN the right to the 1st question.)

To: Political Junkie Too

Sorry... this looks like a poll from a week ago.

-PJ

38 posted on 09/30/2019 2:34:43 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (The 1st Amendment gives the People the right to a free press, not CNN the right to the 1st question.)

To: Political Junkie Too

Here is a review of the most important issues indicated by these poll respondents:

Issue	Dem %	Ind %	Rep %
Health Care	26	18	8
Immigration	3	11	26
Environment	20	12	3
Economy	10	15	19
Gun Control	13	6	4
Social Security	9	11	9
Abortion	2	5	8

NOTE: I don't believe that Abortion was a low issue for Democrats. Something is wrong here.

Here is a review of the favorable minus unfavorable for each political party (excludes "Don't know"). Score is "Very favorable" + "Somewhat favorable" - "Somewhat unfavorable" - "Very unfavorable":

Party	Dem Fav	Ind Fav	Rep Fav
Democrats in Congress	+57	-31	-67
Republicans in Congress	-69	-30	+48
Trump Job Approval	-68	-9	+76

NOTE: Democrats are happier with their party than Republicans are with theirs (no surprise). Republicans and Democrats dislike the other party equally. Independents dislike both equally, but only half as much as the parties dislike each other.

If an election for U.S. Congress were being held today, who would you vote for in the district where you live?

Party	Dem %	Ind %	Rep %
Democrat candidate	94	31	2
Republican candidate	2	34	93

NOTE: Independents are slightly tilting towards Republicans, but 28% are still not sure.

-PJ

40 posted on 10/01/2019 2:30:59 AM PDT by Political Junkie Too (The 1st Amendment gives the People the right to a free press, not CNN the right to the 1st question.)

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