Hurricane Dorian Live Thread II

NHC/NOAA ^ | 2 September 2019 | NHC/NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Very odd that the 11PM update isn’t published by now.

[The Westerner]

Nauti, one of the downsides of this marvel called technology is seeing a video in real time of desperate mother holding a 4 month infant calling to the world to pray for her. In the distance was a safer looking house but she said those who tried to swim to it were washed out to sea. Abaco. Tonight the hurricane is still lashng Grand Bahamas. The end of it cannot come soon enough for those poor souls now “at sea”.

[Bob Ireland]

***There is remarkably rough surf at Jupiter Beach tonight***

Yes; Jupiter to Vero looks involved. If the track remains somewhat offshore, here in West Orlando we should just get tropical storm winds and banding rains. But we all know - these things ain't over until they are over and finished. You gotta prep!

[Maskot]

Not odd. They’re lying to you and me and everyone else. They don’t give two craps about the Bahamas. Something is wrong, very wrong

[NautiNurse]

Summary Of 1100 PM EDT...Information
----------------------------------------------

Location: About 30 MI...NNE of Freeport, Grand Bahama Island
About 100 MI...E of West Palm Beach FL
Max Sustained Winds...130 MPH...
Movement:...Stationary...
Pressure...946 MB...
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Storm Surge Warning has been extended northward from
Altamaha Sound, GA to the Savannah River.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the center and
tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles.

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

[NautiNurse]

My bad. I was looking in the wrong location. Tired eyes.

[Paul R.]

I saw a fascinating comment on another board suggesting that the US SE Coast Atlantic coastline, and the paths of MOST of these hurricanes and tropical storms that approach said coastline may be related in both directions.

That is, hurricanes often tend to travel along areas that feed energy into them, which is not land, of course. Just offshore in this region, we have the warm Gulf Stream, of course. But, over time, the erosion from these storms helps shape the coastline. Ie., the storms’ recurves help shape the coastline to match, too. I am not enough of a geographer or oceanographer to say how great the latter effect is, but, it does seem plausible...

[SE Mom]

I can’t stand it:(

God, bless these souls and hold them safe.

[NautiNurse]

Miami mayor announced that local search and rescue teams are ready and waiting for the storm to clear out of the Bahamas enough for them to get in there and begin work.

[NautiNurse]

Interesting discussion. Thanks!

[The Westerner]

Heartbreaking. Lots of best wishes for all of you on our Eastern Seaboard who may be spared this historical dynamo. If I've learned anything on these hurricane threads, it's not the wind that wreaks havoc as much as the surge of water washing ashore. Those images from Freeport today taken from 2nd floor windows, 20’ high! Can you imagine how terrified these poor people must be after how many hours now? The upside of technology and modern science is seeing homes withstand the shock of mother nature's violent energy.

[milagro]

Now that is pretty and practical!
Hence, pretical :)!

[Jaxter]

I’m in Palm Coast on a canal about 300 yards off the intracoastal and maybe half a mile from the beach. Between I-95 and the A1A. Very little wind and rain so far. The canal seems like it’s maybe a foot and a half higher than a normal high tide. I promised the wife we would go to the shelter in Bunnell if they haven’t lifted the hurricane and storm surge warnings by the 8:AM updates as she is deathly afraid of water getting into the house. I just want the damn thing to turn north.

None of our friends and neighbors are evacuating. It’s probably too late to cut and run now. My biggest fear is getting stuck in gridlock traffic on I-95. We went through Irma with very little damage and I’m hoping we make through Dorian ok as well. I feel so bad for the people in the Bahamas. God bless and good luck to all in harm’s way.

[lodi90]

My biggest fear is getting stuck in gridlock traffic on I-95.

---

I doubt that will happen because South Florida isn’t evacuating for the most part. What caused the gridlock for Irma was the huge bullseye that was over Miami for days on end. That never happened this time and the projection landfall was always west palm and north. Now it doesn’t even look like that will happen. Traffic was light on 95 north when I was going about my business today in the Jax area.

[NautiNurse]

If you are in an evacuation zone, it is prudent to follow the emergency management guidance. There is little reason to get on I-95, as the entire FL Gulf Coast is well outside of the forecast cone. Moving a rather short distance inland should be sufficient. The evacuations are for flood zones.

[justa-hairyape]

Think they recycled the 50 miles off the coast story, which is the current one, and just shifted to 90 miles out assuming center point of eye. Math fudge basically. Its 60 miles off coast now to hurricane edge. 105 miles to eye center point. The problem is going to at least be the space coast. We better keep nice with the Russians.

[sheikdetailfeather]

Maybe so. I also think they looked at the wobble and considered it to be the beginning of a movement north. WFTV said it should move north by morning.

[sheikdetailfeather]

Maybe so. I also think they looked at the wobble and considered it to be the beginning of a movement north. WFTV said it should move north by morning.

[sheikdetailfeather]

Maybe so. I also think they looked at the wobble and considered it to be the beginning of a movement north. WFTV said it should move north by morning.

[Paul R.]

You’re welcome.

I could have written that a little better - am getting tired here, too. I have both good friends and business associates in SE FL, and I don’t know how any decent person can not have their heart gripped by what’s happening in the Bahamas. Weather events seem to fascinate me a little TOO much - possibly being in a F4 tornado as a kid contributes to that.

I guess I should have been a meteorologist! :-)