Alabama abortion law. Wrong bill at wrong time.
1) Roberts is NOT going to go down as the CJ who allowed “HIS” court to overturn RvW.
2) Incrementalism is how the liberals do it. Challenge anti-sodomy laws, then civil unions, then full blown gay marriage in state after state, sue, sue, sue.
3) Limit abortion to 24 weeks, then 22, then 20, the courts will find it harder and harder to allow abortion as the lawsuits keep shrinking the time in which an abortion can be had.
4) We know exceptions for rape and incest are huge loopholes, but they still force the courts to accept some restriction, its the nose under the tent.
Roberts will find a way to shoot this down. RBG existence has nothing to do with this. If this comes before the court and she is gone, Roberts will definitely rule against it making it a 4-4 vote, therefore allowing the appellate ruling against the bill to stand.
Our hope is for RBG to be replaced, then Roberts cannot stab us in the back.
Remember, if Roberts confirms RvW by shooting down this bill, then ALL the other abortion restrictions for all the other states are down the tubes. The court will not slice and dice this bill and say, well abortion is legal up til such and such week of pregnancy. The Alabama bill was written to be all or nothing, and if it gets to Roberts, we will get nothing. It will be back to 1973 all over again.
Roberts never misses an opportunity to say he hates 5-4 decisions and would rather go 5-4 or 6-3 to protect precedent. Just to protect his precious court. He will NEVER allow an overturn of precedent of this magnitude with a 5-4 decision. He only cares about his reputation.
You are absolutely correct.
Roberts is the type of justice who would join the liberals to preserve Roe if it came down to a 5-4 decision, but would probably be the 6th vote to overturn Roe if a female conservative replaced Ginsburg just so he could make sure the opinion was assigned to that woman because a female being the author would provide “his” court some cover from criticism. IOW, he doesn’t give a darn about the legal principles involved.