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FLORIDA UPDATE: GOP: 31,149 DEM: 25,240 (Pinellas County has +3,000 more registered Democrats )
Twitter ^ | Nov 6, 2018

Posted on 11/06/2018 12:01:28 PM PST by 11th_VA

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To: 11th_VA

61 posted on 11/06/2018 1:35:12 PM PST by gaijin
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To: Rumierules

Look at overall turnout also. Orange County turnout is 54.78% of its Registered Voters (RV). That is about the same as the hurricane counties right now...

https://ocfelections.com/VoterTurnout/VoterTurnout.aspx

The red counties are up to over 60% and climbing...


62 posted on 11/06/2018 1:36:49 PM PST by Ravi
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To: 11th_VA; JulieRNR21; kinganamort; katherineisgreat; floriduh voter; summer; Goldwater Girl; ...
Busy day!

Florida Freeper


63 posted on 11/06/2018 1:37:13 PM PST by Joe Brower ("Might we not live in a nobler dream than this?" -- John Ruskin)
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To: Rumierules; All

Anyone know precinct 129 or 334 in Orange County, FL? They have the highest turnout % currently. Lots of other precincts in the 30s and 40s in Orange County. Just curious.

BTW, there is no Dem/Rep breakdown for OC on election day. Only breakdown is for EV.


64 posted on 11/06/2018 1:39:53 PM PST by Ravi
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To: 11th_VA

From Florida Squeeze:

4:15 pm EST (Kartik Krishnaiyer): My GOP sources are growing increasingly confident as the day wears on that they’ve blocked the Democratic wave. One GOPer says to me “we’ll have a split-decision and that’s far better than what the media thought a few weeks ago.“


65 posted on 11/06/2018 1:41:59 PM PST by gasport (The dung beatle should be the symbol of the Democrat Party)
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To: Rumierules; Methos8; SpeedyInTexas; Ravi; goldstategop
I was curious about Orange County as well, so I dug into its precinct information. (There is one in my history but it's based on % turnout of registered voters, not % turnout of 2016).

What I found was amazing. There is a near-linear correlation with Trump vote percentages and turnout relative to 2016. I truncated the axes to make the linear correlation more obvious; there's only a handful of dots outside of the axis. Each dot represents an individual precinct in Orange.



I think what we are seeing is that the NeverTrumper Republicans were disproportionately in cities (not rural areas). They stayed home in 2016 but are turning out this year.
66 posted on 11/06/2018 1:44:34 PM PST by TrumpCoat (Longtime lurker, numbers junkie)
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To: gasport

Not a Tsunami but a Red Wall. I’ll take it.


67 posted on 11/06/2018 1:45:28 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: fortheDeclaration

Don’t look at the polls, look at the EV, GOP has a huge lead.”””

EV ??

Are you referring to the Electoral College votes?

This is mid-term.

Electoral College is only for Presidential elections.


68 posted on 11/06/2018 1:46:50 PM PST by ridesthemiles
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To: gasport

What does a split decision mean?


69 posted on 11/06/2018 1:47:40 PM PST by fortheDeclaration
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To: ridesthemiles

EV means Early Votes


70 posted on 11/06/2018 1:47:49 PM PST by Tuxedo (Keep America Great 2020)
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To: ridesthemiles

No, I am talking about early voting.


71 posted on 11/06/2018 1:48:21 PM PST by fortheDeclaration
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To: fortheDeclaration

Split decision is not what we want. It would mean We get Scott but lose Desantis.


72 posted on 11/06/2018 1:48:36 PM PST by Tuxedo (Keep America Great 2020)
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To: Tuxedo

I think a “split decision” is referring to state house and senate races. In other words, there is not big movement either way.


73 posted on 11/06/2018 1:51:15 PM PST by bort
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To: bort

Now that would be acceptable


74 posted on 11/06/2018 1:52:12 PM PST by Tuxedo (Keep America Great 2020)
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To: Tuxedo

Exactly! I think Desantis has a better chance then Scott does! I think both will win this.


75 posted on 11/06/2018 1:54:33 PM PST by fortheDeclaration
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To: FR33DOM4ME

Broward County’s 90% AA SOE group churns them out!


76 posted on 11/06/2018 1:55:12 PM PST by Beautiful_Gracious_Skies
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To: ridesthemiles

early vote


77 posted on 11/06/2018 1:55:14 PM PST by spacejunkie2001
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To: TrumpCoat

I think what we are seeing is that the NeverTrumper Republicans were disproportionately in cities (not rural areas). They stayed home in 2016 but are turning out this year.

***************

That’s an interesting observation. The NT’s have gotten over their resentment and are highly motivated to vote because of the insane Democrat antics and the threat they pose to a vibrant economy.

I also believe that this is not your grandfather’s mid-term election. Trump’s indefatigable campaigning, his incredible economic progress, and his numerous promises kept have changed the entire nature of the mid-terms. That and the fact that the polls are not accurately representing conservative voters opinions combine to make this election much different from those in the past.

Because of this, I think Republicans are going to do very well tonight. The media and the punditocracy are going to be shocked.


78 posted on 11/06/2018 1:58:07 PM PST by Starboard
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To: Starboard

Agreed.

They did not see this coming. Never imagined an R+1 electorate.


79 posted on 11/06/2018 2:00:30 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: ridesthemiles

early voting


80 posted on 11/06/2018 2:03:55 PM PST by Ravi
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