Posted on 11/06/2018 6:12:19 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
64.5% of Registered R voters in Collier county, FL (Red) have now cast a ballot.
I will take a break and see you guys in a couple of hours.
The Obama campaign had maybe the most effective GOTV operation ever in 2012. I worry that the Dems have something like that going on this election.
I’m taking 4 to vote at 1200. Four more votes for Scott, Desantis and Daniel Webster. I never vote early. I like the excitement of election day.
I’m voting no on 1. The only way you get the exemption is if your house is worth under 125,000. Anybody who has a house worth more will pay for this welfare program. Yes the amendment is written all soft and cuddly but read it again.
You get the tax break for the value UP TO $125,000. So even if your home is worth more, you still get the tax break.
See my post #45.
Excellent! The only reason I voted early was to physically bring a friend who I wasn't sure would go on her own. But she voted straight R, so I guess I did my small part. However, today I feel left out and wish I could go vote (again!!)
It will come down to turnout especially in Broward and Miami Dade.
What’s new on the Arizona numbers?
They don’t call them Floridiots for nothing.
I am beginning to wonder if University of Central Florida is being used as a turnout machine for Orange County. They have 66k students. Orange County jumped out there as % of 2016 this morning.
I don’t have any new AZ info. But McSally’s Senate race is in the bag.
the 0.5 would trigger a recount wouldn’t it?
Overall turnout in Collier County, FL (Red) is 61.3% of RV.
Rep turnout within Collier of Rep Registered voters is now 68.5%
R turnout in Collier at least is starting to approach Presidential level turnout.
Correct: Baris just talked to head of Collier GOP who said they’d pass 2016 this morning.
FL looking very good.
If red counties are redder are blue counties bluer? (2018 to 2016?)
Yes. That is true. So what Methos8 is doing is important - comparison to 2016 - but that’s only part of it. He’s comparing R vs D in counties from 2016 and who went up and down. There are more R’s in red counties and more D’s in blue counties now from 2016. So I want to focus on turnout % of each party of its RV pool in that particular county. That is also important.
Republican only concerns for me so far are Bay turnout and Pasco/Hernando (north Tampa). Bay is really lagging, although it potentially is a data issue? Pasco/Hernando are just a little light on overall turnout compared to everyone else, not a major concern yet.
If I am the Dems though I would be a bit worried all over the place. Maybe they pickup votes as the day goes on but they are way under 2016 pace in Hillsborough/Tampa (about 4%), Duval/Jacksonville (4%) and Pinellas/Tampa (2-3%).
The Blue Meanies have not gotten over their devastating loss in ‘16. Bwahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha.... Anyway, my guess is voting there is also up. They believe they can beat TRUMP, and make him disappear.
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