Posted on 11/05/2018 6:16:41 PM PST by Ravi
More than 35 million americans early votes have been counted - well more than the total cast in the 2014 midterms. The NBC news data analytics Lab, using voter file data from TargetSmart, found that 35,526,881 early votes were counted nationwide as of Monday. In states that have early voting, 42 percent of voters are Republican, 41 percent are Democrats, and 17 percent have either independent or have another party affiliation.
Republican-affiliated voters have outpaced Democratic-affiliated voters in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, Tennessee and Texas. In Nevada, Democratic-affiliated voters have outpaced their Republican counterparts.
The total early vote as of Election Day in 2016, a presidential election year when turnout is much higher, was 46,314,207
(Excerpt) Read more at nbcnews.com ...
I know some independents who weren’t enamored with Trump in 2016 but didn’t vote for Hillary either (this includes females). I believe many will side with Trump and the GOP in this election.
If the GOP gsins Senate seats, GOP holds the House. People historically don’t split a ticket etween the two chambers.
If the GOP gsins Senate seats, GOP holds the House. People historically don’t split a ticket between the two chambers.
I just worry about the state house races. We nearly reached the all time high watermark, it was inevitable we would have things chip away but Gillum and Abrams look like complete disasters. Not to mention my own useless governor Wolf.
Michigan is going to very interesting. Trump has the strongest approval numbers with blacks of any Republican in generations. John James will pull at least 20% of the black vote. He wins in a stunner IMHO.
Isn't "typical" for mid terms ~ 40% ?
pretty wild y'all
Depends on denominator.
DU is posting lots of stats on how much better their turn out is than in 2014.
I am.
Florida early voting results:
Numbers released Monday morning by the state’s Division of Elections show a total of over 5.1 million people had either taken part in early voting or had mailed in their absentee ballots. Another 1.1 million absentee ballots that were requested had not been submitted as of this weekend.
Nearly 13.2 million people are registered to vote in the state of Florida according to the Division of Elections as of September 30th.
Democrats have cast 2.06 million ballots. Republicans have cast 2.04 million. More than 948,000 voters with no party affiliation have also voted.
This year’s totals far exceed those of 2014 midterms, but are still short of the 6.6 million who voted ahead of Election Day in 2016.
Independents will be the deciding factor, especially for governor. Hope enough Repub. and conservative voters get out and vote for DeSantis tomorrow to offset the virtue signaling and race based votes for Gillum.
TargetSmart are charletans who cleverly wormed their way into the election analysis.
We have to take independent/unaffiliated votes into account as well. Those votes are even harder to predict. I’m not registered as a republican, but I voted straight republican for this election.
If R voters swarm the polls today, we’ll likely keep the House.
Its the turnout, stupid.
The Panhandle was voting today. It’s solid red so republicans should take the lead. And so far in the EV Dems are down from their 2014 numbers and Reps are up.
I expect Scott to win.
DeSantis vs Gollum too close to call. It will come down to turnout.
Let’s hope that the Panhandle offsets the virtue signaling fools.
My parents and sisters live in Florida and they all early voted straight Repub. ticket. Mr brother-in-law did also. They are North of Orlando sort of the border where the big city democrats end and the rural small town republicans begin.
If DeSantis loses, it won’t be because of Trump.
He just ran a poor campaign and never made voters aware about his opponent’s socialist agenda.
FL cannot afford Gollum.
The two don't share the same territory and voters.
Some do. The outcome is going to be decided in a few close races, by small percentage margins. It's how a minority of them behave that matters.
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