Folks...you cannot estimate any voting outcomes in Florida or any other state, for that matter, unless you take into account all prior to election day types of voting. You must roughly calculate the Republican, Democrat, Other & No Party affiliation (Independent) votes.
That means guessing and I for one believe that the breakdown on Election Day evening after all the Florida votes are counted will show “roughly” this outcome of results.
Republicans will give 95% of their votes cast to Republicans, Democrats will split their voting pattern, giving 60% of their votes to Democrats and 40% of their votes to Republicans, Others & Independents, will give 60% of their votes to Republicans and 40% of their votes to Democrats.
The Republicans will have a very successful Election Day...across the board. IMHO....The Democrat Party was “insane” to go with someone like Andrew Gillum for Governor. I just believe the overwhelming number of Florida voters will reject this gent...big time. Bill Nelson will go down to defeat with Gillum, mainly because Nelson is an extremely weak candidate to begin with.
With all the pollster, Media & pundit rambling about “Texas, Florida & Georgia”...I believe Election Day will deliver Texas, Florida & Georgia handily to the Trump Republicans...across the board!!! We shall soon see!!!
You are forecasting a massive Repub landslide, but is not going to happen. It’s wonderful to be led by your heart, but it is not always the best thing to do.