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To: Paul R.

Is the polling data biased in favor of the Democrats or is there a real threat to House control?

I don’t know politics so well to figure that all out.

But I’ll be cheering wherever President Trump chooses to go next two weeks.


14 posted on 10/22/2018 12:44:53 AM PDT by Spiridon
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To: Spiridon

IMHO, at this point the House is “dicey”. Those races often turn on local factors / issues. See for example my discussion above of Southwest IL.

Shifting demographics and the pattern of lost seats in the midterms for the President’s party also work against the Pubs.

In many other cases, the Pub Reps (cheap labor express types) don’t appeal much to Trump type voters, and the issue of judicial nominations does not apply. So, in states where there is not a “hot” Senate race, and the Pubs’ House candidate is a squish in a tight race, will the Trump voters turn out?

As was mentioned by another poster, this guy (Bost) “should” be comfortably ahead. The Pub’s internals must be saying Bost’s race is close. If that’s true, as I said, the House may be dicey.

This is partially why I think Rush is wrong, in a sense, about not exhorting his listeners to be strongly involved. He says they need no encouragement to vote, which may be true. But, the problem is, we need them to do more than vote. We need them to drag along friends, man the phones, volunteer to help out, etc., all in the GOTV effort.


16 posted on 10/22/2018 1:17:34 AM PDT by Paul R.
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