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FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 10/0900Z 28.3N 86.5W 120 KT 140 MPH
12H 10/1800Z 29.9N 85.7W 125 KT 145 MPH
24H 11/0600Z 32.1N 83.8W 65 KT 75 MPH...INLAND
36H 11/1800Z 34.4N 80.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
48H 12/0600Z 36.8N 75.6W 40 KT 45 MPH...OVER WATER
72H 13/0600Z 43.5N 59.5W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 14/0600Z 49.5N 36.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 15/0600Z 52.0N 17.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
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Forecaster Beven
Eeyyowww. NHC predicting 145 mph @ landfall.
Thanks for your service here, posting these threads.
Having lived in FL for oh, 30+ years, I can freely state this one is going to be very bad. The storm surge is going to wipe away entire beach towns. Just...gone.
When you combine ocean floods of 10+ feet with 100+ mph sideways rain, very little survives. It’s like a firehose attacking a barbie doll house.
Stick your hand outside a car window going 100mph. For an hour. In a rainstorm. Now think of that blasted at your house. With 10 feet of floodwater. And pounding 15 foot waves on top.
Unreal.
The only thing that will be a bit of a mixed blessing is the forward speed which is 13 mph. but on the other side add 13 and 140 and you get 153 or near cat five velocity so its a mixed blessing.If the storm does not linger it will help.
Turning more east. Hopefully Panama City will be on the weaker West Side. Going to be close