CNN poll: Democrats are fired up and maintain a strong 2018 lead Source: CNN
Washington (CNN)Four weeks out from Election Day, Democrats remain well ahead of Republicans in a generic ballot matchup, with 54% of likely voters saying they support the Democrat in their district and 41% backing a Republican, according to a CNN poll conducted by SSRS.
This is the widest margin of support for Democrats in a midterm cycle since 2006, when at this point, the party held a whopping 21-point lead over Republicans among likely voters. That's also when Democrats seized control of the House from Republicans, making Nancy Pelosi speaker
This year, Democrats' enthusiasm about their congressional vote has increased and 62% now say they're extremely or very enthusiastic to vote, up seven points since September among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. Among Republicans and Republican leaning independents, enthusiasm has remained relatively steady, going from 50% in September to 52% in the most recent poll.
Democratic enthusiasm this year is more intense than it has been in previous midterm cycles, which typically engage voters less than presidential years. The 40% who call themselves "extremely enthusiastic" is the highest share to say so in a midterm election cycle since CNN first asked the question in 2009.
Democrats hold a 13-point lead over Republicans among likely voters on the generic congressional ballot, according to a new poll from CNN.
The CNN survey, which was conducted by SSRS and released on Tuesday, found that 54 percent of likely voters favor a Democratic congressional candidate in their district. Forty-one percent of likely voters said they support a GOP candidate.
This is the widest margin of support for Democrats in a midterm cycle since 2006, when the party held a 21-point lead over Republicans among likely voters, according to CNN.
No WAY!
They’re sure to win now! Just like hilLIARy !!
President Hillary Clinton hails CNN poll as “strong support for my administration”.
Why dont they just go maximum bull-obama and make it 100 points?
2 things:
1. Significant oversampling of Dems skewing results
2. What did the polls say one month before November 2016 election?
CNN is the last poll I would trust.
The CNN Poll was conducted by SSRS October 4 through 7 among a random national sample of 1,009 adults
reached on landlines or cellphones by a live interviewer. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.
SSRS conducted the poll. I never heard of them. They tout “innovative methodologies”. Does that mean on-line polling? That’s tricky to do right, and leaves out some significant voting blocs.
Meanwhile, even RCP is shifting individual districts the other way.
Republicans better get off their fannies. Some3 600,000 in AL refused to vote in the December special election for senator. It’s just hard to arose uninterested voters.
CNN is ISIS.
Methodology-——
A total of 1,009 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. Among the entire sample, 31% described themselves as Democrats, 25% described themselves as Republicans, and 44% described themselves as independents or members of another party.
All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage.
Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of +/- 3.8 percentage points. For the sample of 920 registered voters and adults who plan to register to vote before Election Day, it is +/- 4.0 percentage points. For the sample of 739 likely voters, it is +/- 4.4 percentage points.
Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/-8.5 percentage points or less once adjusted for design effect. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a design-effect adjusted sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with “N/A”.
Certainly Credible News.
CCN.
I want to see the results of the poll on election day.
All this is just propaganda, trying to energize the Dems to go vote.
But I hope Republicans are energized to turn up and VOTE, help president Trump MAGA.
The question that needs to be asked is:
Have the dems come up with a way to cheat here? (Whatever districts they are getting these results from.)
If they have come up with a way to cheat- they would need "polls" showing they are ahead, to cover up that they cheated.
Surely cunun meant a 113% lead right?