Even if we lose Flake, we still have tie breaker with Pence
No, not quite..
Manchin, will join the Republicans as long as they have 50.. If they fall below 50, I would not expect him to be the one to put Kavanaugh over the top....
When it comes to the actual confirmation vote, Expect Manchin to hold his vote until all republicans have voted.... if they don’t have 50 without him, he will accept his career as an elected individual is over and take the D bribe and probably vote no...
I would be very very surprised if Manchin betrays the party if the R’s don’t have this without him... Because even if he would be re-elected he would be completely done in DC.
If we lose Flake and/or Collins, we lose Manchin. It’ll be over.
No we don’t, not if Murkowski votes no.