vanity - Prediction Thread....

21 Sept 2018 | US Navy Vet

[atc23]

Indeed Faux News is almost as fake as the rest. I predict the democrats lose in their bid to retake the lower chamber. GOPe and democrats scream bloody murder and collusion. Senate is basically a wash - net neutral.

it’s almost as if the republicans intentionally sabotage their gains and majority

[MountainWalker]

House majority slightly trimmed
Senate majority slightly extended
Kavanaugh confirmed
Rosenstein fired before next weekend
Mueller fired before the election

[lee martell]

Kellyanne Conway will separate from her husband by the end of 2019. ‘To better accommodate her work load’ in the Re-Election Team.

[ealgeone]

ONLY IF WE VOTE!!!!

[laplata]

We gain 4 in the Senate and keep the House.

[laplata]

Kavanaugh will sit on the USSC.

[yesthatjallen]

He'll be confirmed but he'll be a wash.

He's not a maverick. He'll issue bland, middle-of-the-road rulings.

Anyone who believes he's going to be a champion of conservative ideology is fooling themselves.

Many will be disappointed.

[DoodleDawg]

Keep the Senate, lose the House.

[TiGuy22]

7 seat Senate pick up. We lose 15 in the House, and keep the majority by 8.

___________

Not quite as optimistic as you, but I hope you’re right. I see us holding the house by 1-2 seats; picking up two in the senate.

[Buckeye McFrog]

Keep the Senate, lose the House.

Leave the gun, take the canoli.

[TiGuy22]

I predict Kaepernick will be offered a chance to join the Patriots or Oakland Raiders. I predict he will reject both.
He doesn’t need a team. He has Nike as a cheerleader now.

___

If Kaepernick gets an offer doesn’t that kill his martyrdom? Doesn’t matter if he accepts or not, he’s no longer a victim.

[SaveFerris]

I will go with net gain of +1 in the Senate for Republicans and a net gain of +3 in the House for the lying Democrats.

The results will be blamed on .... (wait for it) .... RUSSIANS!

Disappointed, RBG will decide to retire, announcing it in November.

Liberals will be screaming at the sky.

Or I could be wrong. Except on the screaming liberals.

[BigEdLB]

GOP +6 Senate - House Stay GOP with reduced majority

[The people have spoken]

Two-Term Congresswoman Mia Love (UT-4) will lose. Her opponent is quite likable and is spending lots of money on TV ads, more than she is it seems.

[lighthouse]

Red Tsunami;

Pick up seats in Senate and House
Kavanaugh confirmed
CA has a Republican governor
Muller ends probe with no charges against Trump
Comey, McCabe, Strzok go to jail
Obama moves to a non extradition country
Hillary is found dead under mysterious circumstances

[Beagle8U]

Sessions is gone by Jan.

We will have a new USSC Justice next week.

Chris Mathews will choke-n-die on the set from one of his fits.

Republicans will keep a ONE Rep majority in the House.

Nasty Pelosi will lose minority leadership and will retire in 2020.

The Senate will wind up 55-45 with the smiling turtle still in charge.

[CincyRichieRich]

It’s hard to see how people are going to elect Dems when:

1) They are proving every day, and in every way, how beyond-insane they have become.

2) The economy under Trump is performing the best it has in the past thirty years.

If people go ahead and put Dems in charge anyway then we’ve become too STOOOOOPID to survive as a country.
..

Thanks for echoing my point.

[LittleBillyInfidel]

Lose House and lose Senate. Since 95% of my predictions are WRONG, that’s what I’m sticking with.

[CincyRichieRich]

Indeed Faux News is almost as fake as the rest. I predict the democrats lose in their bid to retake the lower chamber. GOPe and democrats scream bloody murder and collusion. Senate is basically a wash - net neutral.
it’s almost as if the republicans intentionally sabotage their gains and majority
..

McCain did that for the presidency...not hard to believe...in the losers bracket they sell out the U.S. to other governments and get rich...a la, NAFTA.

[mountn man]

I think we keep both houses and gain in the Senate.

Whatever polls are quoted are generic general polls.

Sorta like all those who say that Hillary won the majority vote, so she actually one.
Purposely avoiding the fact that there are 50 separate states, so 50 separate races.
Trump “raced” in the states that earned him the points to win.

Hillary only ran one race.
Trump ran many.
It's the many that counted.

The polls only count the overall.
The one race.
But the Senate and especially the House are all separate races.

You can poll Chicago all you want.
Then claim Illinois is 80/20 democrat/republican.
But there are more congressional districts outside Chicago, than inside.

All individual races.

We hear of a blue wave.
Of past mid term election trends.
Of overall approval ratings.

But seldom do we hear of specifics...
Unless its of an important area,
or the media creates the visual that it's important.
Then the media creates a poll using questionable demographic, with questionable questions, with questionable samplings...
all to drive THEIR narrative.

Independents and undecided are always viewed as the deciding factor.

Not this cycle.

I believe the walk away movement is YUGE.

Trumps rallies are huge.
Few if any on the right are leaving.

The democrats are hemorrhaging.
If 2% of Dems (not indies or undecided) walk away,
and half of them actually switch,
that's a 3 point switch.

More than likely, those who switch are going to be in the not so strong democrat areas.

Weakening already questionable areas for the Dems.

Dems NEED high dem voter turn out
AND low repub turnout,
in order to flip current red areas.

Current politics are pissing off the more moderate left.
No matter how you slice it, the economy is cooking.
Union workers in the rust belt, traditionally Democrat, are noticing.
States like Ohio, Michigan and Pennsylvania.

Results by county, shaded according to percentage of the vote for Trump.

The media, by their polls, want people to believe there's a blue wave coming, because of a general population numbers.

In order for a blue wave, they have to overcome area numbers.
AREAS that went to Trump
And areas that are benefitting from this economy.